I see, that’s useful to know that risk will lower over time in that case. I’m sure we’ll build a better intuition of these metrics over time.
One thing that would be incredibly useful to see, and that we would be happy to contribute to, is a set of post-mortems / examples of experiments people have run, how they’ve designed them, how they chose conversion delay / window, how they analyzed the results, etc. I felt like I had built up that intuition deeply in the frequentist world, but since I’m new to the Bayesian metrics, I’m having trouble reasoning through all the nuances. Are there resources you’d recommend for “real world Bayesian A/B testing” with stories like this from other companies?